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CRO Glossary

Sequential Testing

A statistical method that allows valid checking of test results continuously, without inflating false-positive rates.

Sequential testing methods (such as group sequential designs or always-valid confidence sequences) are built specifically to let you look at results as they come in and stop early if there's a clear winner or loser, without invalidating your statistics. This directly solves the peeking problem: with a standard fixed-sample significance test, checking results daily and stopping the moment p < 0.05 dramatically increases the real false-positive rate, sometimes to 20-30% instead of the intended 5%.

Modern experimentation platforms increasingly use sequential methods by default so that product teams can monitor dashboards in real time and make faster ship/kill decisions without a statistician manually correcting for repeated looks. The tradeoff is usually a slightly wider confidence interval or a need for a bit more data compared to a single, pre-planned fixed-horizon test, in exchange for the freedom to peek safely.

For example, a sequential test might let a team stop a checkout redesign test after 4 days instead of the planned 14 because the sequential boundary was crossed decisively, while a naive fixed-horizon test would have required waiting the full 14 days regardless of how obvious the result looked early on.

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