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CRO Glossary

Effect Size

The magnitude of the difference between a variant and control, expressed in absolute or relative terms.

Effect size answers 'how big was the change,' as opposed to statistical significance, which answers 'how confident are we that the change is real.' A test can be statistically significant with a tiny effect size, or show a huge effect size that isn't statistically significant because the sample was too small. Practitioners need both numbers to make good decisions.

Effect size is usually reported as an absolute difference (control converts at 4.0%, variant at 4.6%, a 0.6 percentage point lift) or a relative difference (a 15% relative lift). Relative lift is often more useful for comparing tests across different baseline conversion rates, while absolute lift is more useful for estimating real business impact like additional revenue.

Effect size is also the key input to a minimum detectable effect calculation before a test starts: you decide the smallest effect size that would be worth detecting, and that determines the sample size you need. A test that later observes an effect size below that threshold, even if directionally positive, generally shouldn't be treated as a meaningful win.

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